Is a producing nation about to flood your target market? Uses currency weakness as a proxy for export surge pressure: when USD/INR rises (INR weakens), Indian exporters' cost base shrinks — they become more competitive and volumes increase 3–6 weeks later. +3% move vs 30-day average = HIGH risk. Ecuador/Brazil tracked via BRL. EU buyer demand tracked via EUR — a weaker Euro reduces purchasing power for EU importers.

When should you convert your USD receivables to local currency? Exporters invoice in USD but pay costs in INR/VND/BRL. A weaker local currency increases margin without touching the shrimp price — costs fall in USD terms. FX impact = current rate vs baseline (INR: 83.0). Margin impact = FX change × local cost % (India: 72%, Vietnam: 68%). Ecuador is dollarised — zero FX exposure. HOLD USD = delay converting when local currency is weakening.

Will port delays eat into your cold chain and payment cycle? Congestion at major hubs adds 3–7 days to transit, increasing cold chain costs and risking contract penalties. Scores (1–10) are derived from seasonal congestion patterns calibrated against historical vessel waiting time data. 1–5 = LOW (normal ops), 6–7 = MEDIUM (monitor), 8–10 = HIGH (pre-book reefer slots, consider alternative routing). Future versions will integrate live AIS vessel traffic data.